Editor's note: br> May Day holiday, the focus network of real estate blog ring shook it, and many real estate experts and the researchers concluded on the holiday property market seems to have become more pessimistic. ? Guangzhou Han with well-known real estate experts. May the topic of our discussion today about who the property market Bo won? First of all would like to know, before you May the marketing strategy from the developer and the attitude of a buyer's market in the observation, then your holiday property is how to envision it?
Han with: the media do a lot of holiday homework, learned from the newspapers and online push the plate more than last year's May Day holiday. Since the policy change after the holidays, we are not very high expectations for the holiday I hope there is some recovery in May. from the popularity, sales point of view, does have some pick-up, nor is it particularly disappointing. My overall assessment, the May sales certainly better than the previous months, But compared with last year, the holiday is no way to compare.
lot of consumers and the media towards the property market this year, or look down the majority. more to say now is that prices will drop to 8,500 yuan / square meter, If this is the case, according to the present situation but also declined. There are two concepts, one refers to the lowest point is 8,500 yuan / square meter, but also a say 8,500 yuan / square meter average price throughout the year, these two completely different concepts. So I think we judge the market, from various angles and positions will have different conclusions.
now have the media that I belong to the wavering, and I really like this. Why ? to judge from the price, I think the price is still not sure that most consumers can afford to buy a house level; a very short time if consumers can afford a house down to the extent that collapse will affect the financial or the entire economy. So my attitude is: also tend to fall, but it is not too fast. if you can achieve such a goal is very difficult. I think, last year's price rise is a large explosion of demand-driven investments, and now investment demand or is stuck, or dismantling, only high-end customers, to support such a large supply of great difficulty. And, now market products and emphasis on high-end products, affordable housing in this price of the home-based needs are very small. how to be able to find in the short term to support a large number of buyers to reach the normal volume, this is a very difficult task.
my analysis of this situation, there are two options: one is re-time to loose lending policies or canceled, even loosening the appropriate investment buyers can not make all back, only a small part of the back, but you can look at the current price supporting. So now I'm on the appropriate government bailout , insulation, or the developers and the industry to make any kinds of judgments, as before, I will not stand in a confrontation. I may not say so, let people into the market at this time, because from my point of view speaking, I do not support the market, but I hope to have many people to the market. So, in a contradictory state, on the one hand want to make the property market down, and slowly fell back, but another On the one hand do not want to drop too fast, too fast, the overall economic, financial and real estate are not good. Now, even I find this rapid decline in housing prices or the call is not easy to avoid plummet , because they do not lower prices there is no way to find more effective demand. As this part of the middle class, and now I do not think there is a lot for the market for the purchase of their products. I am now going to mobilize them to buy a house, they can afford to buy it line.
Moderator: The property market is expected to include three main aspects, one is a popular how, the second is the wealth, the third is the actual volume. Han always expect you to May compared with the previous property prices months is high or low it?
Han with: I see some areas the decline in housing prices even lower than I expected some, such as words, Baiyun District, head over there 6, 7 the price prefix , so the price began to appear in that area; but there are some areas and not much decline, is still relatively high, as Baogang Avenue side, the price is still 11000-13000 yuan / sq m, the highest in the region when there is no higher than 15,000 yuan / square meter, so the degree of decline is not great, but flourished as a venue. However, I think agree that the location of people and now there is a gap between the price, like not afford.
the Pearl River Metro has some real estate is not very high position, but there are also individual properties is still relatively high. However, down to 10,006 yuan / square meter to 10,008 yuan / square meter will be a lot of people to buy, and if will not cut prices so few buyers.
Moderator: When you go to the May offer, you, with you after reading the actual gap between the situation you expected?
Han with: I see not a lot I only saw two or three plates, I think the disk is mid-range of real estate, I think the sentiment is still quite strong, said to have some real estate but also queue up to see, has not officially opened for sale to the extent that some properties such as Guangzhou Park over there, under the current pricing of 6,000 yuan / square meter, or even 7,000 yuan / square meter at this price can be purchased at the Baiyun Road, the results also go there to buy, they may be optimistic about the region, the Guangzhou Metro future, the old city and the Nansha in Guangzhou Asian Games Village, between, and the supporting facilities to improve. basically, and I had to judge about the original May be I did not feel particularly how, the emergence of a downturn, it is almost unlikely The.
transaction recovery is inevitable, but because it is from season to season. but May had finished, it will naturally into the off-season, 6,7,8 months are traditionally not very good selling season. I think the developers expect them to pick up the top a little high, consumers are also above expectations in the price a little high. Do not expect prices will fall much so fast, do not expect a great volume of short-term increase at a rate to how much, and now no one can say, accurate. I'm not particularly stressed, is not really booming financial Ding, because they are made out of the feel of conclusions, there is no data to support.
now exists both voice and views are not wrong, the last to use the facts speak. This number is more or less in the end, the Housing Authority figures show there are some lag, we need a few days to see April's volume. So now more painful, the stock market can know the actual daily trading volume, and now the house is registered transactions occur every day, according to the current means of statistics can be published each day real estate transactions, transactions registration and make up their own subscription have been lagging behind in time, and now lag a long time to publish again. Guangzhou is now in the information published, particularly real estate information is a serious lag in publication, with the first city title does not very consistent, we used to have done quite advanced in this respect, but now gradually falling behind, which makes us very bad for the market to determine.
Moderator: Do you think the holiday shortened but still good things in the property market ?
Han with: five hundred and thirteen days can not leave long-haul travel, and property inspection on a lot of people to learn real estate knowledge, update their philosophy of life, ideas and pioneering vision is a great help . I do not have data to support, in the end such a property inspection property inspection inside in the percentage of how many. There are many properties for sale are not allowed to set prices during May, is still in the stage of the subscription, but most say about a price range, but not sure This transaction will affect the real intention and will. I believe that the developers who now can not easily set the price too high, too high, then source is inherently limited, and finally win, to the last listen to the price run. Now price sensitivity is very high, we can see a lot of real estate adjustments in place to achieve his target group more agreeable price, sales will be very hot; but if the price slightly higher than this number, or your brand, visibility less, it is entirely two worlds, and a possible desolate, one is on the disc. For this situation, I did not understand it as the overall property market pick up or recovery of the phenomenon, because it kinds of phenomena are likely to experience each price level. For example there is a price the average line, you just below the average line will attract some buyers at this level over the purchase.
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